Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors

Year: 2010

Authors: Abadie J., Abbott B. P., Abbott R., Abernathy M., Accadia T., Acernese F., Adams C., Adhikari R., Ajith P., Allen B., Allen G., Amador Ceron E., Amin R. S., Anderson S. B., Anderson W. G., Antonucci F., Aoudia S., Arain M. A., Araya M., Aronsson M., Arun K.G., Aso Y., Aston S., Astone P., Atkinson D., Aufmuth P., Aulbert C., Babak S., Baker P., Ballardin G., Ballmer S., Barker D., Barnum S., Barone F., Barr B., Barriga P. Barsotti L., Barsuglia M., Barton M.A., Bartos I., Bassiri R., Bastarrika M., Bauchrowitz, Bauer Th. S., Behnke B., Beker M.G., Benacquista M., Bertolini A., Betzwieser J., Beveridge N., Beyersdorf P.T., Bigotta S., Bilenko I.A., Billingsley G., Birch JK., Birindelli S., Biswas R., Bitossi M., Bizouard M.A., Black E., Blackburn J.K., Blackburn L., Blair D., Bland B., Blom M., Blomberg A., Boccara C., Bock O., Bodiya T. P., Bondarescu R., Bondu F., Bonelli L., Bork R., Born M., Bose S., Bosi L., Boyle M., Braccini S., Bradaschia C., Brady P.R., Braginsky V.B., Brau J.E., Breyer J., Bridges D.O., Brillet A., Brinkmann M., Brisson V., Britzger M., Brooks A.F., Brown D.A., Budzynski R., Bulik T., Bulten H.J., Buonanno A., Burguet-Castell J., Burmeister O., Buskulic D., Byer R.L., Cadonati L., Cagnoli G., Calloni E., Camp J.B., Campagna E., Campsie P., Cannizzo J., Cannon K., Canuel B., Cao J., Capano C.D., Carbognani F., Caride S., Caudill S., Cavaglia M., Cavalier F., Cavalieri R., Cella G., Cepeda C., Cesarini E., Chalermsongsak T., Chalkley E., Charlton P., Chassande-Mottin E., Chelkowski S., Chen Y., Chincarini A., Christensen N., Chua S.S.Y., Chung C.T.Y., Clark D.E., Clark J., Clayton J.H., Cleva F., Coccia E., Colacino C.N., Colas J., Colla A., Colombini M., Conte R., Cook D., Corbitt T.R.C., Corda C., Cornish N., Corsi A., Costa C.A., Coulon J.P., Coward D.M., Coyne D.C., Creighton J.D.E., Creighton T.D., Cruise A. M., Culter R.M., Cumming A., Cunningham L., Cuoco E., Dahl K., Danilishin S.L., Dannenberg R., D’Antonio S., Danzmann K., Dari A., Das k., Dattilo V., Daudert B., Davier M., Davies G., Davis A., Daw E.J., Day R., Dayanga T., De Rosa R., DeBra D., Degallaix J., del Prete M., Dergachev V., deRosa r., DeSalvo R., Devanka p., Dhurandhar S., Di Fiore L., Di Lieto A., Di Palma I., Di Paolo Emilio M., Di Virgilio A., Diaz M., Dietz A., Donovan F., Dooley K.L., Doomes E. E., Dorsher S., Douglas E. S. D., Drago M., Drever R.W.P., Driggers J., Dueck J., Dumas J.C., Eberle T., Edgar M., Edwards M., Effler A., Ehrens P., Engel R., Etzel T., Evans M., Evans T., Fafone V., Fairhurst S., Fan Y., Farr B.F., Fazi D., Fehrmann H., Feldbaum D., Ferrante I., Fidecaro F., Finn L.S., Fiori I., Flaminio R. Flanigan M., Flasch K., Foley S., Forrest C., Forsi E., Fotopoulos N., Fournier J.D., Franc J., Frasca S., Frasconi F., Frede M., Frei M., Frei Z., Freise A., Fey R., Fricke T.T., Friedrich D., Fritschel P., Frolov V.V., Fulda P., Fyffe M., Gammaitoni L., Garofoli J.A. Garufi F., Gemme G., Genin E., Gennai A., Gholami I., Ghosh S., Giaime J.A., Giampanis S., Giardina K.D., Giazotto A., Gill C., Goetz E., Goggin L.M., Gonzalez G., Gorodetsky M.L., Gossler S., Gouaty R., Graef C., Granata M., Grant A., Gras S., Gray C., Greenhalgh R. J. S., Gretarsson A. M., Greverie C., Grosso R., Grote H., Grunewald S., Guidi G.M., Gustafson E.K., Gustafson R., Hage B., Hall P., Hallam J.M., Hammer D., Hammond G.D., Hanks J., Hanna C., Hanson J., Harms J., Harry G. M., Harry I.W., Harstad E.D., Haughian K., Hayama K., Heefner J., Heitmann H., Hello P., Heng I.S., Heptonstall A., Hewitson M., Hild S., Hirose E., Hoak D., Hodge K.A., Holt K., Hosken D.J., Hough J., Howell E., Hoyland D., Huet D., Hughey B., Husa S., Huttner S.H., Huynh-Dinh T., Ingram D.R., Inta R., Isogai T., Ivanov A., Jaranowski P., Johnson W.W., Jones D.I., Jones G., Jones R., Ju L., Kalmus P., Kalogera V., Kandhasamy S., Kanner J.B., Katsavounidis E., Kawabe K., Kawamura S., Kawazoe F., Kells W., Keppel D.G., Khalaidovski A., Khalili F.Y., Khazanov E., Kim C., Kim H., King P. K., Kinzel D.L., Kissel J.S., Klimenko S., Kondrashov V., Kopparapu R., Koranda S., Kowalska I., Kozak D., Krause T., Kringel V., Krishnamurthy S., Krishnan B., Krolak A., Kuehn G., Kullman J., Kumar R., Kwee P., Landry M., Lang M., Lantz B., Lastzka N., Lazzarini A., Leaci P., Leong J.R., Leonor I., Leroy N., Letendre N., Li J., Li T.G.F., Lin H., Liguori N., Lindquist P.E., Lockerbie N.A., Lodhia D., Lorenzini M., Loriette V., Lormand M., Losurdo G., Lu P., Luan J., Lubinski M., Lucianetti A., Lueck H., Lundgren A., Machenschalk B., MacInnis M., Mackowski J.M., Mageswaran M., Mailand K., Majorana E. Mak C., Man N., Mandel I., Mandic V., Mantovani M., Marchesoni F., Marion F., Marka S., Marka Z., Maros E., Marque J., Martelli F., Martin I.W., Martin R.M., Marx J.N., Mason K., Masserot A., Matichard F., Matone L., Matzner R.A., Mavalvala N., McCarthy R., McClelland D.E., McGuire S.C., McIntyre G., McIvor G., McKechan D.J.A., Meadors G., Mehmet M., Meier T., Melatos A., Melissinos A., Mendell G., Menendez D.F., Mercer R.A., Merill L., Meshkov S., Messenger C., Meyer M.S., Miao H., Michel C., Milano L., Miller J., Minenkov Y., Mino Y., Mitra S., Mitrofanov V.P., Mitselmakher G., Mittleman R., Moe B., Mohan M., Mohanty S.D., Mohapatra S.R.P., Moraru D., Moreau J., Moreno G., Morgado N., Morgia A., Morioka T., Mors K., Mosca S., Moscatelli V., Mossavi K., Mours B., Mow-Lowry C.M., Mueller G., Mukherjee S., Mullavey A., Mueller-Ebhardt H., Munch J., Murray P.G., Nash T., Nawrodt R., Nelson J., Neri I., Newton G., Nishizawa A., Nocera F., Nolting D., Ochsner E., O’Dell J., Ogin G.H., Oldenburg R., O’Reilly B., O’Shaughnessy R., Osthelder C., Ottaway D.J., Ottens R.S., Overmier H., Owen B.J., Page A., Pagliaroli G., Palladino L., Palomba C., Pan Y., Pankow C., Paoletti F., Papa M.A., Pardi S., Pareja M., Parisi M., Pasqualetti A., Passaquieti R., Passuello D., Patel P., Pedraza M., Pekowsky L., Penn S., Peralta C., Perreca A., Persichetti G., Pichot M., Pickenpack M., Piergiovanni F., Pietka M., Pinard L., Pinto I. M., Pitkin M., Pletsch H. J., Plissi M. V., Poggiani R, Postiglione F., Prato M., Predoi V., Price L.R., Prijatelj M., Principe M., Privitera S., Prix R., Prodi G. A., Prokhorov L., Puncken O., Punturo M., Puppo P., Quetschke V., Raab F. J., Rabaste O., Rabeling D. S., Radke T., Radkins H., Raffai P., Rakhmanov M., Rankins B., Rapagnani P., Raymond V., Re V., Reed C. M., Reed T., Regimbau T., Reid S., Reitze D. H., Ricci F., Riesen R., Riles K., Roberts P., Robertson N.A., Robinet F., Robinson C., Robinson E. L., Rocchi A., Roddy S., Rover C., Rogstad S., Rolland L., Rollins J., Romano J. D., Romano R., Romie J. H., Rosinska D., Rowan S., Rudiger A., Ruggi P., Ryan K., Sakata S., Sakosky M., Salemi F., Sammut L., Sancho de la Jordana L., Sandberg V., Sannibale V., Santamaria L., Santostasi G., Saraf S., Sassolas B., Sathyaprakash B. S., Sato S., Satterthwaite M., Saulson P. R., Savage R., Schilling R., Schnabel R., Schofield R., Schulz B., Schutz B. F., Schwinberg P., Scott J., Scott S. M., Searle A. C., Seifert F., Sellers D., Sengupta A. S., Sentenac D., Sergeev A., Shaddock D.A., Shapiro B., Shawhan P., Shoemaker D. H., Sibley A., Siemens X., Sigg D., Singer A., Sintes A. M., Skelton G., Slagmolen B. J. J., Slutsky J., Smith J. R., Smith M. R., Smith N. D., Somiya K., Sorazu B., Speirits F.C., Stein A.J., Stein L.C., Steinlechner S., Steplewski S., Stochino A., Stone R., Strain K. A., Strigin S., Stroeer A., Sturani R., Stuver A. L., Summerscales T.Z., Sung M., Susmithan S., Sutton P. J., Swinkels B., Talukder D., Tanner D. B., Tarabrin S. P., Taylor J. R., Taylor R., Thomas P., Thorne K. A., Thorne K. S., Thrane E., Thuering A., Titsler C., Tokmakov K. V., Toncelli A., Tonelli M., Torres C., Torrie C. I., Tournefier E., Travasso F., Traylor G.., Trias M., Trummer J., Tseng K., Ugolini D., Urbanek K., Vahlbruch H., Vaishnav B., Vajente G., Vallisneri M., van den Brand J. F. J., Van Den Broeck C., van der Putten S., van der Sluys M.V., van der Veggel A. A., Vass S., Vaulin R., Vavoulidis M., Vecchio A., Vedovato G., Veitch J., Veitch P. J., Veltkamp C., Verkindt D., Vetrano F., Vicere A., Villar A., Vinet J. -Y., Vocca H., Vorvick C., Vyachanin S.P., Waldman S.J., Wallace L., Wanner A., Ward R.L., Was M., Wei P., Weinert M., Weinstein A. J., Weiss R., Wen L., Wen S., Wessels P., West M., Westphal T., Wette K., Whelan J.T., Whitcomb S.E., White D., Whiting B. F., Wilkinson C., Willems P. A., Williams L., Willke B., Winkelmann L., Winkler W., Wipf C. C., Wiseman A. G., Woan G., Wooley R., Worden J., Yakushin I., Yamamoto H., Yamamoto K., Yeaton-Massey D., Yoshida S., Yu P., Yvert M., Zanolin M., Zhang L., Zhang Z., Zhao C., Zotov N., Zucker M. E., Zweizig J., Belczynski K.

Autors Affiliation: CALTECH, LIGO, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA; Univ Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland; Univ Savoie, Lab Annecy Le Vieux Phys Particules LAPP, IN2P3, CNRS, F-74941 Annecy Le Vieux, France; Univ Naples Federico 2, Sez Napolia, I-80126 Naples, Italy; Complesso Univ Monte S Angelo, I-80126 Naples, Italy; LIGO, Livingston Observ, Livingston, LA 70754 USA; Max Planck Inst Gravitat Phys, Albert Einstein Inst, D-30167 Hannover, Germany; Univ Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA; Stanford Univ, Stanford, CA 94305 USA; Louisiana State Univ, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; INFN, Sez Roma, I-00185 Rome, Italy; Univ Roma La Sapienza, I-00185 Rome, Italy; Univ Nice Sophia Antipolis, CNRS, Observ Cote Azur, F-06304 Nice, France; Univ Rennes 1, CNRS, Inst Phys Rennes, F-35042 Rennes, France; Univ Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA; Univ Paris 11, LAL, IN2P3, CNRS, F-91898 Orsay, France; CNRS, ESPCI, F-75005 Paris, France; Univ Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, W Midlands, England; LIGO, Hanford Observ, Richland, WA 99352 USA; Leibniz Univ Hannover, D-30167 Hannover, Germany; Max Planck Inst Gravitat Phys, Albert Einstein Inst, D-14476 Golm, Germany; Montana State Univ, Bozeman, MT 59717 USA; European Gravitat Observ, I-56021 Cascina, Pi, Italy; Sonoma State Univ, Rohnert Pk, CA 94928 USA; Univ Western Australia, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia; MIT, LIGO, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA; Univ Denis Diderot Paris 7, APC, CNRS, UMR7164 IN2P3,Observ Paris, Paris, France; Columbia Univ, New York, NY 10027 USA; NIKHEF H, Natl Inst Subat Phys, NL-1009 DB Amsterdam, Netherlands; Vrije Univ Amsterdam, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands; Univ Texas Brownsville & Texas Southmost Coll, Brownsville, TX 78520 USA; San Jose State Univ, San Jose, CA 95192 USA; Univ Pisa, I-56127 Pisa, Italy; INFN, Sez Pisa, I-56127 Pisa, Italy; Univ Siena, I-53100 Siena, Italy; Moscow MV Lomonosov State Univ, Moscow 119992, Russia; Univ Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA; Penn State Univ, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; Washington State Univ, Pullman, WA 99164 USA; INFN, Sez Perugia, I-6123 Perugia, Italy; Univ Perugia, I-6123 Perugia, Italy; CALTECH, CaRT, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA; Univ Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403 USA; Syracuse Univ, Syracuse, NY 13244 USA; IM PAN, PL-00956 Warsaw, Poland; Univ Warsaw, PL-00681 Warsaw, Poland; Univ Warsaw, Astron Observ, PL-00681 Warsaw, Poland; CAMK PAN, PL-00716 Warsaw, Poland; Bialystok Univ, PL-15424 Bialystok, Poland; IPJ, PL-05400 Otwock, Poland; Inst Astron, PL-65265 Zielona Gora, Poland; Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA; INFN, Sez Firenze, I-50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Italy; Univ Urbino, I-61029 Urbino, Italy; NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA; Tsinghua Univ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China; Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; Univ Mississippi, University, MS 38677 USA; Charles Sturt Univ, Wagga, NSW 2678, Australia; INFN, Sez Genova, I-16146 Genoa, Italy; Carleton Coll, Northfield, MN 55057 USA; Australian Natl Univ, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia; Univ Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia; Cardiff Univ, Cardiff CF24 3AA, S Glam, Wales; INFN, Sez Roma Tor Vergata, I-67100 Laquila, Italy; Univ Roma Tor Vergata, I-67100 Laquila, Italy; Univ Aquila, I-67100 Laquila, Italy; Univ Salerno, I-84084 Salerno, Italy; Embry Riddle Aeronaut Univ, Prescott, AZ 86301 USA; Univ Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, S Yorkshire, England; Inter Univ, Ctr Astron & Astrophys, Pune 411007, Maharashtra, India; Southern Univ, Baton Rouge, LA 70813 USA; A&M Coll, Baton Rouge, LA 70813 USA; Univ Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA; INFN, Grp Collegato Trento, I-38050 Padua, Italy; Univ Trent, I-38050 Padua, Italy; INFN, Sez Padova, I-35131 Padua, Italy; Univ Padua, I-35131 Padua, Italy; CALTECH, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA; Northwestern Univ, Evanston, IL 60208 USA; Univ Lyon 1, CNRS, Lab Mat Avancs, IN2P3, F-69622 Villeurbanne, France; Univ Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627 USA; Univ Texas Austin, Austin, TX 78712 USA; Eotvos Lorand Univ, ELTE, H-1053 Budapest, Hungary; Rutherford Appleton Lab, HSIC, Didcot OX11 0QX, Oxon, England; Natl Inst Nat Sci, Natl Astron Observ Japan, Mitaka, Tokyo 1818588, Japan; Univ Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia; Univ Illes Balears, E-07122 Palma de Mallorca, Spain; Univ Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England; Inst Appl Phys, Nizhnii Novgorod 603950, Russia; Lund Observ, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden; Univ Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XQ, Lanark, Scotland; Hobart & William Smith Coll, Geneva, NY 14456 USA; Univ Sannio Benevento, I-82100 Benevento, Italy; Louisiana Tech Univ, Ruston, LA 71272 USA; Andrews Univ, Berrien Springs, MI 49104 USA; McNeese State Univ, Lake Charles, LA 70609 USA; Calif State Univ Fullerton, Fullerton, CA 92831 USA; Trinity Univ, San Antonio, TX 78212 USA; Rochester Inst Technol, Rochester, NY 14623 USA; SE Louisiana Univ, Hammond, LA 70402 USA; Los Alamos Natl Lab, CCS 2, ISR Grp 1, Los Alamos, NM USA; Univ Warsaw, Astron Observ, PL-00478 Warsaw, Poland

Abstract: We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr(-1) per Milky Way Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr(-1) MWEG(-1) to 1000 Myr(-1) MWEG(-1) (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 ( erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO-Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 x 10(-4) and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron-star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO-Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.

Journal/Review: CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM GRAVITY

Volume: 27 (17)      Pages from: 173001  to: 173001

More Information: The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of the United States National Science Foundation for the construction and operation of the LIGO Laboratory, the Science and Technology Facilities Council of the United Kingdom, the Max-Planck-Society, the State of Niedersachsen/Germany for support of the construction and operation of the GEO600 detector, and the Italian Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare and the French Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique for the construction and operation of the Virgo detector. The authors also gratefully acknowledge the support of the research by these agencies and by the Australian Research Council, the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research of India, the Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare of Italy, the Spanish Ministerio de Educacion y Ciencia, the Conselleria d\’Economia Hisenda i Innovacio of the Govern de les Illes Balears, the Foundation for Fundamental Research on Matter supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, the Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education, the FOCUS Programme of Foundation for Polish Science, the Royal Society, the Scottish Funding Council, the Scottish Universities Physics Alliance, The National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Carnegie Trust, the Leverhulme Trust, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Research Corporation and the Alfred P Sloan Foundation. One of us (CK) would like to acknowledge the European Commission.
KeyWords: Virgo; LIGO; gravitational waves; gamma-ray bursts; mass black-holes
DOI: 10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001

Citations: 889
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